Macro Intelligenceby Areeb Ali Khan
A single number from 0 to 100 that summarises how supportive the current macro backdrop is for risk assets. Above ~60 leans risk-on, below ~40 leans risk-off, and the middle is neutral. It's computed from live market and economic data, not opinions.
Market prices (Dollar Index, Nasdaq, Gold, Oil, Treasury yields) come from Yahoo Finance. Economic data (CPI, PPI, GDP) and central-bank policy rates for the Fed, ECB and BoJ, plus real yields and inflation expectations, come from FRED (the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis). Everything updates automatically.
The dominant macro theme the market is in — Goldilocks, Reflation, Stagflation, Tightening, Easing / Liquidity, or Risk Off / Slowdown. The regime changes how signals are weighted: in a tightening regime, real yields and the dollar matter more; in a growth scare, equities and the curve matter more.
How stretched a value is versus its own last year of history, in standard deviations. A z-score of +2 means it's unusually high (a 1-in-20 extreme); −2 means unusually low. It's how the model tells a small move from a big one.
The dashboard includes a backtest that reconstructs the score for every week back to 2017 (using only data available at that time) and checks how markets moved afterward. Historically, higher scores preceded better forward returns. It's an indication of signal quality, not a guarantee or a trading strategy.
No. Macro Intelligence is an analytics and research tool. It does not tell you to buy or sell anything and is not personalised financial advice. Always do your own research and manage your own risk.
Areeb Ali Khan — a crypto product lead and active trader who builds the tools he uses. Learn more about the project, at areebalikhan.com, or on LinkedIn.