Plain-English macro & markets, one new piece a week.
Strip macro down to six yes/no questions and the whole picture gets clearer.
Testing the macro score honestly revealed something important: it barely predicts weeks — but it works over months.
Central banks set the price of money. Their stance — dovish or hawkish — is the master dial for risk.
One measures what you pay; the other measures what producers pay. Together they show where inflation is heading.
The gap between long and short rates has predicted every US recession in modern history. Here's how to read it.
A strong dollar tightens global financial conditions. A weak one loosens them. Crypto feels both.
The 10-year real yield is one of the most important prices in the world — and most retail traders never look at it.
A regime is the dominant theme the market is trading — and it changes how every other signal should be read.